UFC ESPN 1 & Bellator 215/216

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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with the bookies after defeating Roy Nelson, but at age 38 his abilities are unlikely to be improving. Mitrione has the exceptional technique, durability and power status which should see him using a reasonable advantage. Kharitonov will be looking to acquire down the fight but it’s going to be difficult given Mitrione’s superior athleticism. Anticipate a tentative beginning from both men before Mitrione starts amassing strikes to get a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione in 1.95 (-105) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming into this fight after a significant injury layoff. In fact he has had just one victory since Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 times himself. With so many question marks on his state the fight seems to be lined overly wide. Ngannou clearly has huge stopping power and will be very dangerous on the feet early. If Cain has lost a step or comes in looking slow he is in trouble. Historically his style attracts a whole lot of pressure to opponents but he is open to shooting shots himself, particularly when gassed. Both guys have avenues to victory here, Ngannou is able to keep the fight standing and find an early KO. Cain will wish to avert the early storm and seem to wear the larger man out using takedowns and cage strain. We like the underdog in what looks like a 50/50 fight going in. However, the winner of this struggle is likely to seem dominant.
Bet = Ngannou at 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s stock is at an all-time low after his recent KO but his run to the top was remarkable. In this matchup he’ll be the superior technical boxer with the length and speed benefit. Felder has a propensity to mirror his opponent but he will have to turn this one into a brawl to find victory. It’s possible he joins with a kill shot, but the rest of the avenues to success have been in Vick’s favour. Felder takes a close range fight to use his best weapons but Vick has revealed he can stick to a gameplan and keep it at range. We enjoy the lineup on Vick to cruise to success with a medical choice.
Bet = Vick at 1.91 (-110) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 2.73 Units.
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